The expert assessed the likelihood of the Ukrainian scenario in the Russian energy sector

MOSCOW, March 2 – RIA Novosti. The situation of serious accidents in the Russian power system that would lead to large-scale blackouts, as in Ukraine, is unlikely, says Sergey Sasim, director of the Center for Research in the Power Industry of the Higher School of Economics.

In Ukraine, on February 2-3, the Zaporozhye and Kurakhovskaya TPPs were stopped due to accidents. As a result, there was a shortage of electricity in the central regions of the country. The press service of the National Commission for State Regulation in the Spheres of Energy and Utilities (NKREKU) stated that the situation with coal reserves at TPPs in Ukraine is critical, which could provoke a system-wide accident and the introduction of an emergency shutdown schedule. And NEC Ukrenergo reported that coal reserves at Ukrainian thermal power plants are 43% less than the minimum required. “I think that the situation in the Russian energy system of serious accidents that would lead to serious large-scale blackouts is unlikely,” Sasim replied to the question about the possibility of repeating the Ukrainian script in the Russian Federation.

According to the data on the website of the Ukrenergo company, since the beginning of February, Ukraine has resumed importing electricity from Russia in test mode. After the accidents at the Zaporizhzhya and Kurakhovskaya TPPs on February 2-3, Inter RAO more than doubled its electricity supplies to Ukraine, up to 500-700 MW, under a mutual emergency assistance agreement.

On Monday, Aleksandr Panina, a member of the board, acting head of the Inter RAO trading block (the Russian electricity export-import operator), said that commercial electricity supplies to Ukraine are still ongoing in March, but their volume has been reduced. “In terms of reliability, our power system looks more significant, in addition, we can help colleagues in their difficult situation by exporting our electricity, we already have the development of common markets, in which we, probably, could be successful, “Sasim added.

According to him, the system of capacity supply agreements (CDA), which was introduced as a mechanism to guarantee investors the preservation and profitability of their investments during the construction of power plants, not only made it possible to create many energy capacities in the Russian Federation, but also became one of the few examples in the energy sector when investors “did not deceive”.

“Therefore, from this point of view, of course, we have a reliable system. Another question, if we compare with the Ukrainian system, there are probably, in addition to purely technological, some other problems associated with the supply of coal and generally a difficult situation in which the country turned out to be “, – concluded Sasim.

Author: wedocount

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